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1.
Heliyon ; 10(6): e27275, 2024 Mar 30.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38545169

RESUMO

Urbanisation is a global trend that significantly impacts sustainable urban development and the quality of urban life. Assessing urban sprawl is critical for sustainable urban planning and aligns with the key objectives of the United Nations sustainable development goals. This study employed geospatial technology and landscape metrics to comprehensively assess, map, and quantify the extent of urban sprawl in Bulawayo from 1984 to 2022. The study leveraged the Support Vector Machine (SVM) supervised machine learning algorithm coupled with landscape metrics to achieve this objective. The combined approach allowed for the classification, detection of land cover changes, analysis of urban dynamics, and quantification of the degree of urban sprawl. The results revealed a 228% increase in built-up areas between 1984 and 2022, while non-built-up areas (agricultural land, vegetation, bare land) decreased by 29.28%. The landscape metrics and change analysis indicated an encroachment of urban-like conditions into urban areas. Land use change assessment revealed that Bulawayo exhibits four district types of urban sprawl: leapfrog, strip/ribbon, low density, and infill. Urban expansion is attributed to urbanisation and evolving land use policy. Urban sprawl has numerous urban planning implications on transport management, habitat loss and deforestation, reduction and contamination of freshwater sources, and many others. This study is strategic to planners, researchers, and decision-makers/policy makers as it provides relevant, up-to-date, and accurate information for sustainable urban planning.

2.
Heliyon ; 10(4): e25682, 2024 Feb 29.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38380026

RESUMO

In the contemporary state of accelerated urbanization in China, urban expansion has become the mainstream trend of urban development. However, in the context of urban expansion, whether coordinated development between urban expansion and urban vitality is achieved is an important concern facing the current urban expansion process. The Pearl River Delta (PRD) urban agglomeration is a hotspot of rapid economic development in China, and it is essential to examine the coupling relationship between the region's urban dynamics and urban expansion to promote rational urban development. This study analyzes the dynamics and evolutionary characteristics of urban expansion based on multisource nighttime light data, employing an UERI and other methods. We apply the entropy method and coupling coordination model to evaluate urban vitality and conduct a coupling analysis of urban expansion and urban vitality from 1992 to 2021. The results show that during the study period, the urban built-up area of the PRD urban agglomeration increased by 61,131.59 km2, urban vitality gradually increased each year, the coupling coordination between urban vitality and urban expansion gradually increased, and factors such as economic development, urban planning, and geographical location advantages also influenced changes in urban vitality and urban expansion and their coupling and coordination in the study area. This study provides a methodological reference and data support for the investigating the spatiotemporal evolution of urban agglomerations and urban vitality analysis.

3.
Sci Total Environ ; 915: 170068, 2024 Mar 10.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38218473

RESUMO

With the neo-metamorphosis of the residential landscape worldwide and sluggish sanitation strategies in urban environments, rudimentary on-site sanitation systems remain commonly used, especially in developing countries, despite the risks of groundwater contamination. The effective management of such water resources relies on assessment of the sensitivity of anthropized aquifers to man-made impact, including groundwater behavioural alteration, in terms of both quality and quantity. Associated with tracking of changes in land use, this study proposes an approach involving emerging organic contaminants (EOCs) as indicators of the alteration of groundwater balance due the exposure of shallow aquifers to the risks of infiltration of untreated wastewater from soak pits. This methodology was applied to the shallow aquifer beneath the urban agglomeration of Grand-Sfax (Tunisia). Combined with an updated follow-up of groundwater piezometric fluctuations in relation with inputs from surface contamination sources, the spatialisation of contamination levels by EOCs provided a clear delineation of the most impacted aquifer zones. This approach revealed a significant link between the continuous rise in piezometric levels by contributions from untreated inputs and the accumulation of high levels of contamination in groundwater. The understanding of EOC underground pathways allowed the determination of the fates and processes responsible for the diffusion of contamination throughout the studied aquifer. The ability of groundwater to reflect population life style and the use patterns of such organic molecules was also assessed. Besides revealing the legacy of persistent contamination, this approach involving EOCs as tracers with different levels of persistence provided a spatial observation of the aquifer exposure to continuous contamination processes. This approach made it possible to develop a conceptual presentation of aquifer vulnerability to urban pressures and to predict the effects of subsequent expansion of unplanned urbanisation on groundwater quality.

4.
Sci Total Environ ; 912: 168891, 2024 Feb 20.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38042183

RESUMO

Urban expansion is a global phenomenon that impacts biodiversity loss and climate change. Soil sealing increases land degradation and the ecosystem services supply. This degradation also negatively affects ecosystem health, essential to make cities more sustainable and liveable. This work aims to study the ecosystem health spatiotemporal evolution (1990, 2000, 2006, 2012 and 2018) in the Vilnius (Lithuania) functional zone, using the vigour, organisation and resilience (VOR) method. The results showed that ecosystem health model validation was acceptable (r = -0.761; p < 0.01). Between 1990 and 2018, an increase (18.37 %) in ecosystem vigour was observed. The values were significantly higher in 2006, 2012 and 2018 than in 1990 and 2000. We identified a decrease between 1990 and 2018 regarding ecosystem organisation (7.15 %) and resilience (9.92 %). However, no significant differences between the years were identified. Ecosystem health decreased (11.49 %) between 1990 and 2018, mainly between 2012 and 2018. Ecosystem health values in 2018 were significantly lower than those identified in the previous years. The lowest values of ecosystem vigour, organisation and resilience were identified in the Vilnius city centre, while the highest was observed in the Vilnius functional zone. From 1990 to 2018, ecosystem vigour increased in some elderships located on the fringe of the studied area due to land abandonment and forest plantations. Simultaneously, a decrease in ecosystem organisation and resilience in the elderships located in Vilnius city centre was observed due to urban sprawl and the consequent landscape fragmentation. This negatively impacted ecosystem health, overshadowing the positive trend observed in ecosystem vigour. Different processes (e.g., urban sprawl, land abandonment, forest plantations) occurred in the Vilnius functional zone. It is essential to halt urban expansion and its adverse impacts on ecosystem health, city sustainability and liveability.


Assuntos
Conservação dos Recursos Naturais , Ecossistema , Lituânia , Florestas , Cidades , China
5.
Environ Monit Assess ; 195(9): 1123, 2023 Aug 31.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37651048

RESUMO

Being the state capital of Gujarat, Gandhinagar is snowballing urban population, resulting in overexploitation of groundwater resources and consequent decline in local groundwater level. The key objective of the current research is to understand the impact of urban expansion on the groundwater level of Gandhinagar district for the last 3 decades. Long-term land use/land cover (LULC) alterations using Landsat images (1991-2021) reveal a 234% increase in overall built-up area and it is more prominent in western and southern parts than the eastern part of study area till 2021 due to urban sprawl of adjacent Ahmedabad City. Spatial distribution of groundwater levels exhibits the same pattern of groundwater level drop as that of the urban expansion and the drop of maximum depth of the groundwater level has also observed during study tenure. Rapid population growth indicates inevitable urban densification which may lead to increase in groundwater abstraction and consequent groundwater level depletion of Gandhinagar City in near future. The scenario may be worsened due to the reduction in groundwater recharge area owing to enhancement of impervious surfaces. A negative correlation is established between groundwater level and respective built-up areas from 1991 to 2011. After 2001, groundwater levels in some areas showed a rising trend and the number of those locations have increased from 2001 to 2021, indicating a sufficient supply of surface water, meeting the escalating water demand and subsequent reduction in groundwater abstraction. High fluoride content was found in many groundwater samples collected from Gandhinagar's shallow unconfined aquifer. In lieu of almost unperturbed natural groundwater recharge, built-up expansion, rising population, and over-exploitation result in groundwater level depletion in both shallow and deeper aquifers. To replenish the already depleted groundwater level and for sustainable water supply, an integration of rainwater-surface water-groundwater management plan and sustainable urban management plan is highly required. The future sustainable urban-groundwater management plan of Gandhinagar City must emphasized on the expansion of green and permeable spaces for groundwater recharge, mandatory rainwater harvesting system in every building possible, suitable area demarcation for artificial recharge, and identification of areas which are less prone to groundwater level depletion for city expansion. The outcomes of the present study will help the decision-makers to prepare inclusive and resilient urban management plan to accomplish the 6th and 11th Sustainable Development Goals of United Nations by 2030.


Assuntos
Água Subterrânea , Índia , Urbanização , Tecnologia de Sensoriamento Remoto , Imagens de Satélites , Monitoramento Ambiental , População Urbana , Fenômenos Geológicos
6.
Sci Total Environ ; 903: 165967, 2023 Dec 10.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37543317

RESUMO

Anthropic stressors are among the greatest concerns in nature conservation. Among these, deforestation and urban expansion are major drivers of habitat loss, which is a major threat to biodiversity. Insects, the largest and most abundant group of animals, are declining at alarming rates. However, global estimates of the impact of anthropic stressors on insect abundance, richness, and traits are still lacking. Here, we performed a meta-analysis to estimate the impact of urbanization stressors on insect abundance, diversity, and traits. Our design focused on the effects of urbanization on moderators such as insects' activity periods, climatic zones, development stages, ecosystem, functional roles, mobility, orders, and life history. We found that insects are negatively affected by urban stressors across most moderators evaluated. Our research estimated that in insects, urbanization resulted in a mean decrease of 42 % in abundance, 40 % in richness, and 24 % in trait effects, compared to a conserved area. Even though in general there was greater loss in abundance than in richness, each moderator was affected by different means and to varying degrees, which results from artificial lighting at night as well as land use. Our study highlights the importance of promoting better protection of insect biodiversity in the future from the enormous loss in biodiversity reported in >500 papers assessed.

7.
J Environ Manage ; 345: 118728, 2023 Nov 01.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37536130

RESUMO

Environmental and socio-economic developments induce land-use changes with potentially negative impacts on human well-being. To counteract undesired developments, a profound understanding of the complex relationships between drivers, land use, and ecosystem services is needed. Yet, national studies examining extended time periods are still rare. Based on the Special Report on land use, land management and climate change by the Austrian Panel on Climate Change (APCC), we use the Driver-Pressure-State-Impact-Response (DPSIR) framework to (1) identify the main drivers of land-use change, (2) describe past and future land-use changes in Austria between 1950 and 2100, (3) report related impacts on ecosystem services, and (4) discuss management responses. Our findings indicate that socio-economic drivers (e.g., economic growth, political systems, and technological developments) have influenced past land-use changes the most. The intensification of agricultural land use and urban sprawl have primarily led to declining ecosystem services in the lowlands. In mountain regions, the abandonment of mountain grassland has prompted a shift from provisioning to regulating services. However, simulations indicate that accelerating climate change will surpass socio-economic drivers in significance towards the end of this century, particularly in intensively used agricultural areas. Although climate change-induced impacts on ecosystem services remain uncertain, it can be expected that the range of land-use management options will be restricted in the future. Consequently, policymaking should prioritize the development of integrated land-use planning to safeguard ecosystem services, accounting for future environmental and socio-economic uncertainties.


Assuntos
Conservação dos Recursos Naturais , Ecossistema , Humanos , Áustria , Agricultura , Mudança Climática
8.
J Environ Manage ; 345: 118730, 2023 Nov 01.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37536133

RESUMO

Air pollution is an inevitable negative environmental externality in the process of industrialization and urbanization in countries around the world. Land misallocation in the process of urbanization and industrialization and the resulting urban sprawl exacerbates the above problems. As a major country in the stage of rapid urbanization and industrialization, China also faces severe air pollution problems. Therefore, this paper will systematically study the impact of land misallocation and urban sprawl on air pollution. We first set up the utility maximization problem of each economic entity in the process of land misallocation in the mathematical model, and form a general equilibrium theory model to analyze the relationship between land misallocation, urban sprawl and air pollution, and then put forward the research hypotheses. We further use the big data of land market transactions of China Land Market Network and LandScan global population data to build the land misallocation index and urban sprawl index respectively, and use an extended mediating effect model to empirically test the hypotheses. The results suggest that the effect of land misallocation on air pollution is significantly positive, and the impact of land misallocation on urban sprawl largely depends on the return rate of land relative to labor (RRIRL). When the RRIRL is relatively low, the impact is weak, or even has a negative effect to some extent. At this time, low transportation costs are conducive to reducing air pollution. On the contrary, when the RRIRL is relatively high, land misallocation has a significant role in promoting urban sprawl. At this time, high traffic costs are conducive to reducing air pollution. In addition, we also find that there is an inverted U-shaped relationship between urban sprawl and air pollution. When the urban sprawl level is low, its impact on air pollution increases with the increase of its level, but once it exceeds a specific node, the impact will decrease. Based on the characteristics of the relationship among land misallocation, urban sprawl and air pollution under different RRIRL, we summarize four environmentally friendly urban development paths. We bring the land bid rent theory and environmental pollution research into a same theoretical model framework, which provides a modeling idea and research perspective with a micro-foundation for subsequent research on land misallocation. We integrate the research conclusions of existing literature and unify them under the research frameworks concerning different RRIRL in the empirical results, which greatly improving their applicability. The four urban development paths summarized in this paper will also provide inspiration for future researchers and policy makers.


Assuntos
Poluição do Ar , Urbanização , Poluição Ambiental , China , Modelos Teóricos , Cidades
9.
Environ Monit Assess ; 195(7): 816, 2023 Jun 07.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37286911

RESUMO

Today, more than half of the world's population of 7.6 billion lives in cities, and by 2030, it is estimated that the population of urban residents will exceed 5 billion worldwide. Since growth in cities destroys agriculture, forests, and wetlands, an increasing carbon footprint brings many environmental problems, such as global climate change. Among the developing countries, Türkiye's largest cities have been experiencing a rapid urbanization process. The study aims to analyze the adverse effects of urban growth in Türkiye's largest metropolises on natural areas such as agriculture, forests, and wetlands. In this context, the Istanbul, Ankara, and Izmir metropolitan areas have been determined as case areas. The correlation between the changes in the land cover and the urban expansion processes of the three big cities from 1990 to 2018 has been systematically analyzed in the GIS environment using Corine land cover program data. The study indicates the devastating effect of urban growth on agricultural areas in all three case areas. In addition, the urbanization pressure in Istanbul continues to destroy northern forests.


Assuntos
Monitoramento Ambiental , Urbanização , Cidades , Florestas , Agricultura , Conservação dos Recursos Naturais
10.
Environ Dev Sustain ; : 1-16, 2023 Jun 08.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37362964

RESUMO

The accelerated urban growth in Macaé had important consequences on socio-spatial organization, especially about housing spaces that became increasingly difficult to be accessed by the low-income population. The most devalued lands, such as mangroves and floodplains, were occupied by the low-income population. The proposal highlighted in this project focuses directly on the problem of rising sea levels and flooding in the urban space of Macaé, which is of social interest. A simulation of future scenarios with sea level rise above the current one, allowing the identification of areas flooded by marine transgression on a time scale of 100 years (for the year 2100). For this, the rate was chosen for the simulation: the greenhouse gas scenario RCP8.5, as given in IPCC's Fifth Assessment Report (AR5) of 2014. A radiative forcing that corresponds to more than 700 ppm CO2-eq, but less than 1500 ppm, the projected increase is 1 m to more than 3 m (medium confidence) and more than 3 m (medium confidence). This assessment is based on the average confidence in the contribution from thermal expansion and low confidence in the modeled contribution modeled contribution of the ice sheets. Therefore, the climate change-induced global mean sea level rise is caused by thermal expansion of ocean water and ocean mass gain, the latter being mainly due to a decrease in land ice mass. The estimated sea-level rise used for the projection of this study is 2.15, as proposed by Grinsted et al. in 2009.

11.
Environ Monit Assess ; 195(7): 822, 2023 Jun 09.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37291411

RESUMO

Land surface temperature (LST) is an important variable in urban microclimate research. At the end of 2019, the emergence of Covid-19 pandemic has changed the world in a manner that forced many countries to impose restrictions in human activities. As a measure to prevent the expansion of Covid-19 infections, most of the major cities have entered a prolonged lockdown period and reduction in human activities between the early 2020 and the late 2021. These restrictions were strict in most of the cities in Southeast Asia, particularly in Vietnam. The present study investigated the variations in LST and NDVI observed in three rapidly growing urban areas, namely Da Nang, Hue and Vinh, in Vietnam using Landsat-8 imagery acquired between 2017 and 2022. There has been a slight reduction in LST in the study sites, particularly in Da Nang City, during the lockdown period but not as high as observed in recently conducted studies from big metropolitan cities, including in Vietnam. It is also observed that LST estimated from built-up areas and other impervious surfaces remained relatively stable during the study period which is similar to the results from recent studies.


Assuntos
COVID-19 , Urbanização , Humanos , Cidades , Temperatura , Temperatura Alta , Vietnã/epidemiologia , Pandemias , Monitoramento Ambiental/métodos , COVID-19/epidemiologia , Controle de Doenças Transmissíveis
12.
Environ Sci Pollut Res Int ; 30(25): 66812-66821, 2023 May.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37186185

RESUMO

There have been a prolonged lockdown period and reduction in human activities in most of the major cities in the world during the Covid-19 pandemic period between the early 2020 and the late 2021. Such a reduction in human activities was believed to have influenced pollution levels and land surface temperatures (LST) in urban areas. This paper describes the variations in LSTs before, during and after the Covid-19 lockdown in Ho Chi Minh City in southern Vietnam, which is the economic hub of the country. For this purpose, Landsat-8 OLI and TIRS images acquired between 2015 and 2022 were used. It is observed that there was a significant reduction of 1 to 1.8 °C in LST in open areas, excepting impervious surfaces and built-up areas, during the strict lockdown period in Ho Chi Minh City, and an increase in LST since then. The observed reduction in LST during the lockdown period in Ho Chi Minh City is in agreement with the reduction in greenhouses gases during the same period in recent studies. Human mobility and industrial activities have been restored in November 2021 in the study area which would explain the regain in LST in the post-lockdown period.


Assuntos
COVID-19 , Temperatura Alta , Humanos , Cidades , Temperatura , Vietnã , Pandemias , Monitoramento Ambiental/métodos , Controle de Doenças Transmissíveis , Urbanização
13.
Popul Space Place ; 29(1): e2621, 2023 Jan.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37033693

RESUMO

In high-income countries, migration redistributed populations from congested city centres into the sparsely populated outskirts, raising challenges to environmental and population health and the conservation of biodiversity. We evaluate whether this periurbanisation process came to a halt in Switzerland by expecting a decline in internal migration and a renewed residential attractiveness of urban agglomeration centres (i.e., re-urbanisation)-two recent trend changes observed in Europe. Relying on data from censuses, registers and surveys, we describe trends in the intensity, geography and sociodemographic differentials of migration across consistently defined urban agglomeration density zones between 1966 and 2018. Although the overall intensity of migration declined, the rate increased among the working age population in part because of the societal diffusion of tertiary education. The dominant urban-bound migration flows are increasingly confined within agglomerations over time. After the diffusion of periurbanisation down the city hierarchy between 1966 and 1990, we observe the emergence of re-urbanisation in some agglomerations and sociodemographic groups around 2000. However, this phenomenon has been temporarily inflated by period-specific transformations in Swiss society. More recently, the process of periurbanisation intensified again and expanded more and more beyond official agglomeration borders.

14.
Environ Sci Pollut Res Int ; 30(49): 107179-107198, 2023 Oct.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36973627

RESUMO

Urbanization, particularly in peri-urban areas, often results in critically transforming the regional land use and land cover (LULC). The increased built-up in peri-urban areas affects the regional accessibility of residents of urban clusters to requisite amenities and severely affects the regional environment, as observed in the case of Jammu district situated in the foothills of the Indian Himalayas. The present study is aimed at assessing the rise of urban sprawls in Jammu district over the past two decades and how the urbanization has affected the lag in the number of amenities corresponding to the urban growth based on qualitative parameters. Further, a parameterization scheme is developed to assess the amenities quality. A comparison is made with Indore, a planned smart city, to assess the status of urbanization and residential quality based on an amenity index. The study also investigates the indifferences observed in some of the climate variables in the urban and sub-urban settings of the Jammu district. The investigation is conducted through a multi-ring buffer analysis approach utilizing the land use land cover (LULC) products based on Landsat 8/7 satellite imagery of 2002, 2013, and 2021. The indifferences in the settings are analyzed using MODIS aerosol optical depth (AOD) and land surface temperature (LST) products. The analysis leads to determination of critical urban parameters including the urban area, density, and growth rate, revealing significant urbanization at 25-27 km from the city center. Significant indifferences are observed in urban and sub-urban areas indicating higher rise in LST and AOD, particularly in the recent decade. These investigations provide critical information to urban and climate solution authorities for planning and management, particularly in critically endangered areas.


Assuntos
Monitoramento Ambiental , Urbanização , Temperatura , Monitoramento Ambiental/métodos , Cidades , Imagens de Satélites
15.
Environ Res ; 220: 115029, 2023 03 01.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36495963

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Road traffic noise is a serious public health problem globally as it has adverse psychological and physiologic effects (i.e., sleep). Since previous studies mainly focused on individual levels, we aim to examine associations between road traffic noise and sleep deprivation on a large scale; namely, the US at county level. METHODS: Information from a large-scale sleep survey and national traffic noise map, both obtained from government's open data, were utilized and processed with Geographic Information System (GIS) techniques. To examine the associations between traffic noise and sleep deprivation, we used a hierarchical Bayesian spatial modelling framework to simultaneously adjust for multiple socioeconomic factors while accounting for spatial correlation. FINDINGS: With 62.90% of people not getting enough sleep, a 10 dBA increase in average sound-pressure level (SPL) or Ls10 (SPL of the relatively noisy area) in a county, was associated with a 49% (OR: 1.49; 95% CrIs:1.19-1.86) or 8% (1.08; 1.00-1.16) increase in the odds of a person in a particular county not getting enough sleep. No significant association was observed for Ls90 (SPL of the relatively quiet area). A 10% increase in noise exposure area or population ratio was associated with a 3% (1.03; 1.01-1.06) or 4% (1.04; 1.02-1.06) increase in the odds of a person within a county not getting enough sleep. INTERPRETATION: Traffic noise can contribute to variations in sleep deprivation among counties. This study suggests that policymakers could set up different noise-management strategies for relatively quiet and noisy areas and incorporate geospatial noise indicators, such as exposure population or area ratio. Furthermore, urban planners should consider urban sprawl patterns differently in terms of noise-induced sleep problems.


Assuntos
Ruído dos Transportes , Privação do Sono , Humanos , Privação do Sono/epidemiologia , Ruído dos Transportes/efeitos adversos , Teorema de Bayes , Big Data , Sono , Exposição Ambiental
16.
Front Public Health ; 11: 1227234, 2023.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38249364

RESUMO

Background: Exploring the value orientation of city development from the perspective of people's well-being is key to clarifying the current debate on city size strategies. Methods: Based on the survey data of the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study in two phases, and by using the unbalanced panel-ordered logit model, stepwise analysis method, and KHB method, among others, we discuss the impact of city size on the disability rate of older adults. Results: The study finds that city size significantly and positively affects the activities of daily living (ADL) of older adults, with odd ratios of 1.3286 (95% CI = [1.082243, 1.631089]), and exhibits significant group heterogeneity in terms of age, registered residence, income, and education level. City size has indeed played an mediation role through the health improvement effect, disease mitigation effect, emotional effect, and employment structure optimization effect, with a cumulative contribution rate of the mediation effect of 35.17%. In addition, the urban sprawl index has a significant moderation role. Discussion: Robust urban sprawl is conducive to promoting the improvement of the regional health environment, the improvement of the medical security policy, the optimization of the family support policy, and the employment structure, thus helping to reduce the disability rate of older adults.


Assuntos
Atividades Cotidianas , Aposentadoria , Humanos , Idoso , Estudos Longitudinais , China , Escolaridade
17.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36430080

RESUMO

The rapid expansion of different types of urban land continues to erode natural and semi-natural ecological space and causes irreversible ecological damage to rapidly industrialized and urbanized areas. This work considers Quanzhou, a typical industrial and trade city in southeastern China as the research area and uses a Markov chain integrated into the patch-generating land use simulation (PLUS) model to simulate the urban expansion of Quanzhou from 2005 to 2018. The PLUS model uses the random forest algorithm to determine the contribution of driving factors and simulate the organic and spontaneous growth process based on the seed generation mechanism of multi-class random patches. Next, leveraging the importance of ecosystem services and ecological sensitivity as indicators of evaluation endpoints, we explore the temporal and spatial evolution of ecological risks from 2018 to 2031 under the scenarios of business as usual (BAU), industrial priority, and urban transformation scenarios. The evaluation endpoints cover water conservation service, soil conservation service, biodiversity maintenance service, soil erosion sensitivity, riverside sensitivity, and soil fertility. The ecological risk studied in this work involves the way in which different types of construction land expansion can possibly affect the ecosystem. The ecological risk index is divided into five levels. The results show that during the calibration simulation period from 2005 to 2018 the overall accuracy and Kappa coefficient reached 91.77% and 0.878, respectively. When the percent-of-seeds (PoS) parameter of random patch seeds equals 0.0001, the figure of merit of the simulated urban construction land improves by 3.9% compared with the logistic-based cellular automata model (Logistic-CA) considering organic growth. When PoS = 0.02, the figure of merit of the simulated industrial and mining land is 6.5% higher than that of the Logistic-CA model. The spatial reconstruction of multiple types of construction land under different urban development goals shows significant spatial differentiation on the district and county scale. In the industrial-priority scenario, the area of industrial and mining land is increased by 20% compared with the BAU scenario, but the high-level risk area is 42.5% larger than in the BAU scenario. Comparing the spatial distribution of risks under the BAU scenario, the urban transition scenario is mainly manifested as the expansion of medium-level risk areas around Quanzhou Bay and the southern region. In the future, the study area should appropriately reduce the agglomeration scale of urban development and increase the policy efforts to guide the development of industrial land to the southeast.


Assuntos
Conservação dos Recursos Naturais , Ecossistema , Conservação dos Recursos Naturais/métodos , Simulação por Computador , Cidades , Solo
18.
Geohealth ; 6(10): e2022GH000667, 2022 Oct.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36262526

RESUMO

Variation in the land use environment (LUE) impacts the continuum of walkability to car dependency, which has been shown to have effects on health outcomes. Existing objective measures of the LUE do not consider whether the measurement of the construct varies across different types of communities along the rural/urban spectrum. To help meet the goals of the Diabetes Location, Environmental Attributes, and Disparities (LEAD) Network, we developed a national, census tract-level LUE measure which evaluates the road network and land development. We tested for measurement invariance by LEAD community type (higher density urban, lower density urban, suburban/small town, and rural) using multiple group confirmatory factor analysis. We determined that metric invariance does not exist; thus, measurement of the LUE does vary across community type with average block length, average block size, and percent developed land driving most shared variability in rural tracts and with intersection density, street connectivity, household density, and commercial establishment density driving most shared variability in higher density urban tracts. As a result, epidemiologic studies need to consider community type when assessing the LUE to minimize place-based confounding.

19.
Environ Monit Assess ; 194(12): 860, 2022 Oct 10.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36210378

RESUMO

In recent decades, medium-sized Indian cities have experienced accelerated urban growth due to the saturation of large cities. Such rapid urban growth combined with inadequate urban planning has triggered urban sprawl in medium-sized Indian cities. In this context, the present study focuses on the geospatial measurement of urban sprawl in four rapidly expanding Indian medium-sized cities located in diverse physiographic regions, such as Lucknow urban agglomeration (UA), Bhubaneswar UA, Raipur UA, and Dehradun UA. Multi-temporal Landsat imageries from 1991 to 2021 were downloaded for land cover classification through the maximum likelihood classification tool in ArcGIS 10.3. Thereafter, spatiotemporal land cover change detection was performed based on the classified land cover maps. The presence of urban sprawl was detected using the relative entropy index while the urban expansion index quantified the urban sprawl typologies such as edge expansion, leapfrog development, and ribbon development. The results exhibited a rapid rise in built-up land cover from 1991 to 2021. The prevalence of urban sprawl was detected in all four cities as per the relative entropy index. Edge expansion typology of urban sprawl was dominant compared to leapfrog development and ribbon development. Such urban growth phenomenon creates a hindrance in promoting sustainable urban development in medium-sized Indian cities. The results obtained from this paper would assist urban planners and policymakers in developing strategies to encourage planned urban growth. This paper exhibits the potential of geoinformatics to monitor and analyze urban sprawl.


Assuntos
Conservação dos Recursos Naturais , Urbanização , Cidades , Planejamento de Cidades , Conservação dos Recursos Naturais/métodos , Monitoramento Ambiental/métodos
20.
J Environ Manage ; 323: 116205, 2022 Dec 01.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36116254

RESUMO

Urban spontaneous plants, that are not intentionally propagated by humans and do not belong to the remnants of the natural habitats, not only occur in green spaces but are also distributed in diverse microhabitats in impervious surface areas. Impervious surface coverage is commonly used in studies on spontaneous plant diversity patterns in human-dominated landscapes; however, the role of habitat diversity (i.e., land-use diversity) has been overlooked. Here, we surveyed spontaneous plant composition and land uses (12 types) in 321 0.25 ha sampling sites on the Chongming District islands, Shanghai, to determine the role of land-use diversity in explaining species richness. We examined the linear relationships between species richness and land-use diversity, and quantified the importance of impervious surface coverage and land-use diversity using the random forest (RF) method. All these analyses were conducted for spatial scales from 0.25 to 5 ha in 0.25 ha increments. We found an overall positive relationship between species richness and land-use diversity, and the RF model predicted approximately 50% of the species richness variation at the smallest spatial scale. However, the positive relationship weakened with spatial scale increase, and a rapid decline in explanatory power occurred for all predictor variables in the RF model. Besides impervious surface coverage, both the vegetated and non-vegetated land-use diversity contributed substantially to the prediction of species richness at finer spatial scales. The findings clarify how land-use diversity, both in green spaces and impervious surface areas, affect urban spontaneous plant richness and should be considered in urban biodiversity conservation strategies at the neighborhood scale.


Assuntos
Biodiversidade , Recursos Naturais , Plantas , China , Plantas/classificação , Recursos Naturais/provisão & distribuição
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